Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Monahan 46.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
MacKinnon
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Monahan
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
MacKinnon
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
45.9% (908)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
49.1% (108)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
30.0% (20)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Monahan is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Monahan
Home
42.1% (202)
48.7% (528)
Away
43.6% (250)
43.1% (508)
By Period
MacKinnon
Monahan
P1
43.3%
50.1%
P2
41.5%
44.7%
P3
44.2%
42.7%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |