Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.8% vs Monahan 50.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 86.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Dowd
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Monahan
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Dowd
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (343)
51.0% (1,063)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.4% (314)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
40.0% (30)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Dowd shoots right. Monahan is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Dowd
Monahan
Home
43.0% (172)
53.8% (705)
Away
57.1% (224)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Dowd
Monahan
P1
47.4%
47.3%
P2
60.6%
53.9%
P3
44.7%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |