Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.4%). Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Monahan wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Aho 52.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Monahan
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Monahan
Aho
Last 10: Monahan 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Monahan
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Monahan
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
51.6% (819)
-0.1%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
58.4% (173)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
46.3% (67)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Monahan shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Monahan
Aho
Home
53.9% (362)
53.9% (568)
Away
52.5% (417)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Monahan
Aho
P1
48.0%
55.4%
P2
57.0%
51.2%
P3
54.1%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |