Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 72.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 64.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Monahan
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Monahan
Aho
Last 10: Monahan 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
12
Monahan
Aho
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
3
Monahan
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Monahan
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
54.5% (870)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.6% (174)
62.4% (266)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (144)
37.1% (62)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Monahan shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Monahan
Aho
Home
53.4% (624)
53.9% (603)
Away
51.7% (547)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Monahan
Aho
P1
53.7%
54.1%
P2
52.4%
55.0%
P3
51.6%
57.4%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | OT | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |