Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.2% vs Aho 51.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 39-29 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 55.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Monahan
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
39
(68 meetings)
29
39
Monahan
Aho
Last 10: Monahan 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
7
20
Monahan
Aho
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
10
9
Monahan
Aho
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
12
10
Monahan
Aho
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,197)
50.1% (6,415)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.6% (2,558)
59.1% (1,297)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (733)
46.0% (446)
+0.0%
On power play, Aho has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Monahan shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Monahan
Aho
Home
52.3% (7,234)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
50.2% (7,254)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Monahan
Aho
P1
51.0%
51.2%
P2
51.6%
52.1%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
OT
53.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | OT | 02:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |