Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 67.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Monahan
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
54.1% (717)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.6% (174)
61.9% (210)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (144)
58.1% (31)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Monahan shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Monahan
Hertl
Home
53.4% (624)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.7% (547)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Monahan
Hertl
P1
53.7%
57.1%
P2
52.4%
54.0%
P3
51.6%
56.6%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%