Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Aho 53.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 65.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 55.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lundell
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lundell
Aho
Last 7: Lundell 2-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Lundell
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Lundell
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
51.2% (785)
+3.1%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
63.8% (213)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
57.9% (57)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Lundell
Aho
Home
57.3% (450)
54.9% (548)
Away
52.3% (428)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Lundell
Aho
P1
54.3%
52.8%
P2
58.2%
58.9%
P3
52.0%
50.6%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |