Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.4%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Aho 52.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 62.5%
Defensive zone
Aho 52.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Larkin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Larkin
Aho
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
8
Larkin
Aho
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Larkin
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Larkin
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
51.6% (819)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
58.4% (173)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
46.3% (67)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Larkin
Aho
Home
55.6% (662)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.3% (542)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Larkin
Aho
P1
49.9%
55.4%
P2
52.7%
51.2%
P3
53.0%
50.9%
OT
68.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |