Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Aho 52.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 76.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Evans
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Evans
Aho
Last 6: Evans 1-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Evans
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.6% (819)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
58.4% (173)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
46.3% (67)
-3.3%
On power play, Aho has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Evans
Aho
Home
52.1% (503)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.0% (423)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Evans
Aho
P1
50.5%
55.4%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
51.3%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |