Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 60.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Aho
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Aho
Stamkos
Last 10: Aho 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Aho
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Aho
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
0
Aho
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (778)
55.3% (628)
-6.8%
Power Play
63.4% (191)
55.1% (216)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
40.2% (87)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Aho shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Aho
Stamkos
Home
51.3% (530)
55.5% (499)
Away
51.4% (504)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Aho
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
50.7%
P2
51.3%
53.8%
P3
52.1%
55.9%
OT
66.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |