Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 65.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Aho
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Aho
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Aho
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (778)
49.1% (847)
-0.6%
Power Play
63.4% (191)
79.5% (44)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
39.5% (81)
+11.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Aho shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Aho
Gourde
Home
51.3% (530)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.4% (504)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Aho
Gourde
P1
50.0%
54.7%
P2
51.3%
45.0%
P3
52.1%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |