Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Aho 75.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Aho
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
48.0% (914)
+3.2%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
54.2% (48)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
43.9% (123)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Aho shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Aho
Gourde
Home
54.9% (548)
50.2% (512)
Away
53.3% (507)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Aho
Gourde
P1
52.8%
50.0%
P2
58.9%
45.3%
P3
50.6%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%