Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.1%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Stamkos 52.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Stamkos
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Horvat
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Horvat
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
52.9% (735)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
53.4% (73)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
53.8% (145)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
57.2% (987)
54.1% (481)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
53.9%
50.2%
P2
53.7%
53.4%
P3
53.6%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |