Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 67.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 69.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 67.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Horvat
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Horvat
Stamkos
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Horvat
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Horvat
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Horvat
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
55.3% (628)
-0.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
55.1% (216)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
40.2% (87)
+11.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stamkos
Home
59.8% (853)
55.5% (499)
Away
53.8% (832)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Horvat
Stamkos
P1
55.0%
50.7%
P2
58.3%
53.8%
P3
57.8%
55.9%
OT
44.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |