Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.6%). Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 12-1 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Eller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
12
(13 meetings)
1
12
Eller
Stamkos
Last 10: Eller 0-10 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Eller
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Eller
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Eller
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
48.1% (669)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
58.2% (110)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
50.0% (40)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eller is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Eller shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Eller
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (259)
52.0% (402)
Away
47.7% (283)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Eller
Stamkos
P1
45.7%
46.3%
P2
44.3%
52.4%
P3
56.7%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |