Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 69.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 65.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Suzuki
Stamkos
Last 5: Suzuki 0-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Suzuki
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Suzuki
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
56.1% (342)
-4.8%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
53.3% (92)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
62.5% (8)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
50.6% (603)
53.4% (208)
Away
50.1% (623)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
51.1%
59.1%
OT
48.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 04:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 01:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |