Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.4% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 74.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 78.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 78.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Aho
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Aho
Stamkos
Last 10: Aho 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
7
Aho
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Aho
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Aho
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (622)
56.5% (246)
-4.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
61.4% (101)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (42)
53.6% (69)
-1.2%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Aho shoots left. Stamkos is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Aho
Stamkos
Home
54.9% (359)
54.7% (170)
Away
50.5% (333)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Aho
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
60.9%
P2
53.3%
59.2%
P3
52.7%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |