Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 53.4% vs Thompson 43.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 96.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 86.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 83.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Stamkos
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stamkos
Thompson
Last 5: Stamkos 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
0
Stamkos
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
0
Stamkos
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (628)
43.3% (735)
+12.0%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
50.0% (26)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (87)
36.5% (52)
+3.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Stamkos shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Thompson
Home
55.5% (499)
44.5% (407)
Away
51.9% (432)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Stamkos
Thompson
P1
50.7%
44.4%
P2
53.8%
44.8%
P3
55.9%
40.2%
OT
87.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | OT | 02:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |