Steven Stamkos vs Tage Thompson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stamkos 51.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+8.4%)
H2H factor Stamkos leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Stamkos 95.5%
Defensive zone Stamkos 84.8%
Neutral zone Stamkos 83.8%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Stamkos Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12 - 6 (18 meetings)
12
6
Stamkos Thompson
Last 10: Stamkos 6-4 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
1
Stamkos Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Stamkos Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
2
Stamkos Thompson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stamkos
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
42.9% (3,521)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
46.8% (372)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
33.6% (265)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Stamkos shoots right. Thompson is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Thompson
Home
52.7% (6,248)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Stamkos
Thompson
P1
49.1%
44.5%
P2
52.7%
43.6%
P3
50.9%
40.2%
OT
54.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
41.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
51.0%
Thompson
36.0%
39.5%
42.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 7, 2026 3 09:47 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 7, 2026 3 00:16 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Jan 31, 2025 3 07:46 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 15, 2024 1 07:35 Neutral Tage Thompson
Feb 29, 2024 3 19:44 Defensive Tage Thompson
Jan 20, 2024 3 19:33 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Jan 20, 2024 3 13:43 Offensive Tage Thompson
Jan 20, 2024 1 06:14 Neutral Tage Thompson
Mar 4, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Feb 23, 2023 3 00:45 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 28, 2022 OT 02:36 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Nov 28, 2022 3 15:27 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Nov 28, 2022 3 08:36 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Oct 25, 2021 3 17:00 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Oct 25, 2021 2 18:39 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Oct 25, 2021 2 18:32 Defensive Tage Thompson
Oct 25, 2021 2 11:03 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Oct 25, 2021 1 01:13 Defensive Tage Thompson