Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.9% vs Thompson 43.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 79.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 64.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Stamkos
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stamkos
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (670)
41.9% (597)
+7.4%
Power Play
53.7% (121)
50.5% (95)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
25.0% (12)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Stamkos shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Thompson
Home
54.0% (400)
47.1% (367)
Away
45.7% (394)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Stamkos
Thompson
P1
48.6%
44.2%
P2
54.5%
41.6%
P3
45.4%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |