Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.9% vs Nosek 53.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 82.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 60.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Stamkos
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stamkos
Nosek
Last 9: Stamkos 6-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
0
Stamkos
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Stamkos
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (789)
55.1% (557)
-5.8%
Power Play
56.9% (181)
50.0% (4)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (98)
47.7% (111)
+6.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Stamkos shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Nosek
Home
52.0% (512)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.2% (556)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Stamkos
Nosek
P1
42.1%
49.0%
P2
56.4%
53.8%
P3
53.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |