Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 71.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Stamkos
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Stamkos
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stamkos
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Stamkos
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (670)
53.0% (400)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.7% (121)
33.3% (12)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.5% (44)
-12.2%
On power play, Stamkos has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Stamkos shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Nosek
Home
54.0% (400)
49.6% (244)
Away
45.7% (394)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Stamkos
Nosek
P1
48.6%
53.1%
P2
54.5%
51.4%
P3
45.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |