Steven Stamkos vs Tomas Nosek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stamkos 54.6% vs Nosek 46.9% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 78.0%
Defensive zone Nosek 62.2%
Neutral zone Stamkos 54.4%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Stamkos Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stamkos
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (342)
48.5% (66)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
100.0% (1)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
29.6% (27)
+32.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +46.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Stamkos shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Nosek
Home
53.4% (208)
44.0% (25)
Away
57.7% (234)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Stamkos
Nosek
P1
55.6%
46.4%
P2
52.8%
34.2%
P3
59.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
41.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
55.7%
Nosek
46.0%
49.0%
43.6%