Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 52.0% vs Seguin 54.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 59.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Stamkos
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Stamkos
Seguin
Last 9: Stamkos 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stamkos
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Stamkos
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (725)
55.1% (1,036)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.7% (123)
56.9% (174)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (44)
52.2% (230)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
53.3% (426)
58.9% (703)
Away
51.3% (466)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
56.6%
54.5%
P2
48.2%
53.7%
P3
52.7%
57.0%
OT
42.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | OT | 03:30 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |