Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.9% vs Seguin 51.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Stamkos
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stamkos
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stamkos
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (670)
54.8% (135)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.7% (121)
58.3% (24)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
26.7% (15)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
54.0% (400)
47.4% (95)
Away
45.7% (394)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
54.5%
57.1%
P3
45.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%