Steven Stamkos vs Tyler Seguin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stamkos 54.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 75.0%
Defensive zone Seguin 72.4%
Neutral zone Stamkos 58.2%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Stamkos Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (254)
53.2% (201)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.6% (76)
60.0% (25)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +55.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
51.9% (158)
56.3% (126)
Away
59.8% (174)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
56.5%
44.3%
P2
55.0%
52.1%
P3
56.5%
62.5%
OT
62.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
56.0%
56.0%
56.0%
Seguin
42.0%
54.0%
53.6%