Steven Stamkos vs Tyler Seguin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stamkos 54.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone Stamkos 71.4%
Defensive zone Seguin 67.6%
Neutral zone Stamkos 54.9%
Result Steven Stamkos favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Stamkos Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (342)
53.2% (201)
+2.9%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
60.0% (25)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.4% (9)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
53.4% (208)
56.3% (126)
Away
57.7% (234)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
55.6%
44.3%
P2
52.8%
52.1%
P3
59.1%
62.5%
OT
62.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%
55.0%
55.7%
Seguin
42.0%
54.0%
53.6%