Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Stamkos
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Stamkos
Seguin
Last 10: Stamkos 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Stamkos
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Stamkos
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
7
Stamkos
Seguin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
55.9% (810)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
49.3% (762)
+0.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
52.7% (6,248)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
49.1%
52.8%
P2
52.7%
53.3%
P3
50.9%
54.7%
OT
54.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | OT | 03:30 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |