Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 53.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Stamkos
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stamkos
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stamkos
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stamkos
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (628)
55.0% (713)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
56.7% (104)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (87)
47.2% (53)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
55.5% (499)
56.2% (443)
Away
51.9% (432)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
50.7%
54.2%
P2
53.8%
52.9%
P3
55.9%
57.1%
OT
87.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |