Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Stamkos
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (789)
56.5% (712)
-7.2%
Power Play
56.9% (181)
59.7% (67)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (98)
44.9% (49)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Stamkos shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Seguin
Home
52.0% (512)
58.5% (402)
Away
50.2% (556)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Stamkos
Seguin
P1
42.1%
58.4%
P2
56.4%
54.7%
P3
53.7%
54.1%
OT
62.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%