Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.7%). Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.9% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Stamkos
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stamkos
Karlsson
Last 7: Stamkos 3-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Stamkos
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (789)
51.4% (735)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.9% (181)
63.5% (115)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (98)
42.9% (133)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
52.0% (512)
52.3% (524)
Away
50.2% (556)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
42.1%
50.7%
P2
56.4%
51.4%
P3
53.7%
53.2%
OT
62.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |