Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stamkos wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 53.4% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Stamkos
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stamkos
Karlsson
Last 9: Stamkos 4-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
1
Stamkos
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Stamkos
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Stamkos
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (628)
55.3% (897)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
61.1% (113)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (87)
50.8% (132)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
55.5% (499)
58.6% (560)
Away
51.9% (432)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
50.7%
55.8%
P2
53.8%
55.6%
P3
55.9%
55.7%
OT
87.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |