Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 74.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 54.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Stamkos
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Stamkos
Karlsson
Last 10: Stamkos 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
2
Stamkos
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
6
Stamkos
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
1
Stamkos
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (670)
58.6% (597)
-9.3%
Power Play
53.7% (121)
57.9% (57)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
51.9% (52)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
54.0% (400)
59.6% (344)
Away
45.7% (394)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
48.6%
53.1%
P2
54.5%
62.1%
P3
45.4%
60.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |