Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 54.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 67.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stamkos
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (342)
58.5% (135)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
80.0% (5)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.4% (18)
+18.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
53.4% (208)
63.7% (91)
Away
57.7% (234)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
55.6%
54.4%
P2
52.8%
66.7%
P3
59.1%
51.9%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%