Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.2%). Stamkos wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.2% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Stamkos
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stamkos
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stamkos
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (499)
56.3% (739)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.3% (126)
58.6% (181)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
47.2% (53)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
55.3% (349)
56.5% (462)
Away
56.9% (288)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
57.0%
57.1%
P2
59.2%
55.2%
P3
51.5%
56.7%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |