Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 76.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 80.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Stamkos
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stamkos
Thompson
Last 5: Stamkos 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stamkos
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Stamkos
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Stamkos
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (499)
44.6% (709)
+11.3%
Power Play
56.3% (126)
41.5% (53)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
35.1% (97)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Stamkos shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Thompson
Home
55.3% (349)
45.5% (426)
Away
56.9% (288)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Stamkos
Thompson
P1
57.0%
48.5%
P2
59.2%
43.8%
P3
51.5%
38.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |