Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 46.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 59.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Thompson
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (484)
53.2% (201)
-7.1%
Power Play
48.4% (91)
60.0% (25)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
44.4% (9)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
47.9% (313)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.6% (282)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
50.5%
44.3%
P2
44.6%
52.1%
P3
42.3%
62.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%