Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 43.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thompson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (735)
55.0% (713)
-11.7%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
56.7% (104)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (52)
47.2% (53)
-10.7%
On even strength, Seguin has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
44.5% (407)
56.2% (443)
Away
41.6% (406)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
44.4%
54.2%
P2
44.8%
52.9%
P3
40.2%
57.1%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |