Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 41.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 77.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 77.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thompson
Seguin
Last 5: Thompson 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Thompson
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (801)
56.5% (712)
-15.9%
Power Play
44.7% (103)
59.7% (67)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (71)
44.9% (49)
-13.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
43.2% (507)
58.5% (402)
Away
37.2% (468)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
37.7%
58.4%
P2
43.4%
54.7%
P3
39.5%
54.1%
OT
27.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
39.7%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |