Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 43.7% vs Seguin 51.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thompson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (597)
54.8% (135)
-12.9%
Power Play
50.5% (95)
58.3% (24)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
26.7% (15)
-1.7%
On even strength, Seguin has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
47.1% (367)
47.4% (95)
Away
38.0% (337)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
44.2%
50.8%
P2
41.6%
57.1%
P3
42.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |