Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 44.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 63.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Thompson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Thompson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (709)
56.9% (478)
-12.3%
Power Play
41.5% (53)
57.4% (54)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (97)
51.3% (76)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
45.5% (426)
57.4% (317)
Away
41.1% (433)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
48.5%
50.3%
P2
43.8%
60.4%
P3
38.1%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |