Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 45.3% vs Seguin 52.5% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Thompson
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (642)
53.2% (201)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.9% (94)
60.0% (25)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
46.0% (391)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.4% (378)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
48.1%
44.3%
P2
44.9%
52.1%
P3
41.2%
62.5%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%