Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 48.1% vs Hertl 57.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 90.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 71.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.0%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Blueger
Hertl
Last 7: Blueger 4-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Blueger
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Blueger
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
3
0
Blueger
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (223)
58.1% (823)
-7.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.2% (265)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
31.9% (47)
62.9% (35)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
50.0% (192)
59.7% (561)
Away
41.9% (86)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
46.2%
51.6%
P2
51.5%
63.8%
P3
43.2%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |