Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 50.0% vs Hertl 54.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 31-16 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Blueger 65.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 93.1%
Neutral zone
Blueger 76.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
31
(47 meetings)
16
31
Blueger
Hertl
Last 10: Blueger 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
23
Blueger
Hertl
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
6
4
Blueger
Hertl
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
9
4
Blueger
Hertl
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,540)
53.8% (8,268)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (76)
59.3% (1,975)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (1,100)
46.3% (806)
-3.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
51.4% (2,403)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
48.6% (2,313)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
52.3%
54.1%
P3
48.5%
55.3%
OT
40.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |