Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 50.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 90.6%
Neutral zone
Blueger 66.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Blueger
Hertl
Last 7: Blueger 2-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Blueger
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Blueger
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
0
Blueger
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (745)
54.1% (717)
-0.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
61.9% (210)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (259)
58.1% (31)
-16.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
53.4% (504)
58.1% (492)
Away
47.2% (511)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
46.6%
57.1%
P2
53.0%
54.0%
P3
50.8%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |