Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 52.8% vs Hertl 56.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Blueger 51.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 84.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 69.3%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Blueger
Hertl
Last 10: Blueger 1-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
8
Blueger
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
0
Blueger
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Blueger
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (590)
57.0% (718)
-2.8%
Power Play
71.4% (14)
64.9% (188)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (177)
44.2% (77)
+3.8%
On power play, Blueger has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
53.2% (378)
59.2% (463)
Away
53.1% (403)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
54.3%
56.3%
P2
56.7%
55.4%
P3
48.9%
60.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |