Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.5%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 52.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 70.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Blueger
Hertl
Last 5: Blueger 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Blueger
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
0
Blueger
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (529)
51.6% (1,084)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (137)
44.1% (136)
+6.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
54.3% (335)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.9% (337)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
50.3%
55.4%
P2
55.2%
54.8%
P3
53.5%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |