Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 51.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 93.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 84.1%
Neutral zone
Blueger 52.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Blueger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Blueger
Hertl
Last 9: Blueger 5-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Blueger
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
0
Blueger
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
3
0
Blueger
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (425)
54.1% (1,117)
+0.0%
Power Play
100.0% (6)
59.8% (296)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
34.4% (32)
+9.4%
On power play, Blueger has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Blueger shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Blueger
Hertl
Home
52.5% (282)
54.3% (709)
Away
51.5% (293)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Blueger
Hertl
P1
49.2%
51.6%
P2
57.2%
53.6%
P3
50.8%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |