Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 42.2% vs Hertl 51.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 93.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 77.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 84.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 10: Pettersson 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Pettersson
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Pettersson
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (608)
51.7% (869)
-10.4%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
55.7% (176)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.9% (138)
-44.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
39.7% (320)
51.8% (583)
Away
42.3% (307)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
36.9%
52.5%
P2
43.2%
50.9%
P3
43.6%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
41.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |