Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Hertl 56.8% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 74.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 72.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 6: Pettersson 1-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Pettersson
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
57.0% (718)
-6.6%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
64.9% (188)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
44.2% (77)
-3.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
50.7% (420)
59.2% (463)
Away
50.9% (379)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
48.0%
56.3%
P2
47.6%
55.4%
P3
57.5%
60.5%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |