Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 48.0% vs Hertl 54.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Lundeström leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 92.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 72.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Lundeström
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Lundeström
Hertl
Last 10: Lundeström 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
0
Lundeström
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundeström
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
2
Lundeström
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (366)
55.7% (648)
-9.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
60.4% (149)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
42.2% (83)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundeström is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Lundeström shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Hertl
Home
46.9% (192)
58.3% (391)
Away
48.1% (206)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Lundeström
Hertl
P1
48.1%
58.9%
P2
50.4%
51.5%
P3
45.6%
54.3%
OT
16.7%
76.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |